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Business Update - Floor and Decor: Q1'23 Results Review - Out Performance Continues

FND organic sales outperformed HD and LOW. FND reiterated stores opening target and FY23 guidance while peers reduced financial outlook.

Trung Nguyen @SWI's avatar
Trung Nguyen @SWI
May 23, 2023
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Floor & Decor’s primer

Floor & Decor (FND) is a hard-flooring warehouse retailer with a 9% market share operating 194 stores across the US. It has a clear capital allocation plan to widen moats and win market share. At maturity (450 stores in 10 years - my base case), I estimate that FND could command 25-30% of the market at the expense of the industry leaders, Home Depot (HD), Lowe’s (LOW), and even more so, the independent and ‘mom-and-pop’ shops.

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Q1’23 FND Results:

Financial performance:

  • Net sales of $1,122.1M increased 9.1% YoY.

  • Comparable store sales decreased by 3.3%, the first drop for years stretching to 2013 and slowing pace QoQ compared to Q4’22.

  • Diluted earnings per share of $0.66, flat YoY.

  • It opened three new warehouse stores, a total of 194, and 5 design studios.

Commentary:

My focus is on management's 500 warehouse stores target by 2032.…

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