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Buying This Boring Cash Generative Business with 2x Market Growth at 10yr Low Valuation

Market leader in a supply chain management niche, deep moats, limited competition, and accelerating acquisitions extending the 20yr record of growth, even in recession years.

Trung Nguyen @SWI's avatar
Trung Nguyen @SWI
Jun 03, 2025
∙ Paid
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Today, I bought a sleep well business that:

  • Scores 13/20 points on my sleep well checklist.

  • Possesses deep moats - network effects, scale/cost, switching cost, and brand.

  • This SaaS platform has multiple growth levers (organic, product, geography, M&A)

  • High probability of reaching 15% growth for 10 years with low capex, margin expansion opportunity, net cash balance sheet, and available at a 10-year low valuation.

  • The market hasn’t appreciated the quality and expects free cash flow growth of 9% CAGR over the next decade, compared to an achievable 15% CAGR.

I believe it can improve my portfolio, despite its performance at a 65% annualized return rate.

In case you missed it, recently, I shared the following:

  • 20th Sleep Well Pick - Boring and Anti-fragile

  • Sleep Well Portfolio May Update - 64% Annualized Return

  • Wisetech’s Step-change acquisition

  • Transition of the Mercado Libre CEO.

  • Q1’25 results review: VAT, Kinsale, MIPS, Mercado Libre, Sea Limited, and Grab.

Don’t miss out on my in-depth analysis and profitable investment decision.

No marketing spam, just research and investment-related content.

Let’s examine what I bought today and how it fits the Sleep Well Portfolio.

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